--- title: "%1 pearl case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "%1 pearl ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 79.39% over 4,109 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-pearl rendered: 2026-11-11T19:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [%1 pearl](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-pearl) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken)%1 pearl A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-pearl?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-pearl?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-pearl) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-pearl?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 10 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 79.39% · 4,109 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 434 openings · below min 7 days · 70.81% ±35.38 2,151 openings 30 days · 79.39% ±26.67 4,109 openings since tracking started · 79.39% ±26.67 4,109 openings -0.5% 53.3% 107.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-pearl?window=24h) | 434 | 33.95% ±54.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-pearl?window=7d) | 2,151 | 70.81% ±35.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-pearl) | 4,109 | 79.39% ±26.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-pearl?window=all) | 4,109 | 79.39% ±26.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $741 1,483 coins 148.3x 2026-11-07 12:16 UTC [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $741 1,483 coins 148.3x 2026-11-06 00:22 UTC [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $741 1,483 coins 148.3x 2026-11-03 16:20 UTC [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $741 1,483 coins 148.3x 2026-11-03 16:14 UTC [★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $702 1,404 coins 140.4x 2026-11-05 05:08 UTC [★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $702 1,404 coins 140.4x 2026-11-03 20:26 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $580 1,160 coins 116.0x 2026-11-10 23:57 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $580 1,160 coins 116.0x 2026-11-07 09:20 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-stained-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $555 1,109 coins 110.9x 2026-11-05 15:39 UTC [★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $508 1,016 coins 101.6x 2026-11-07 12:17 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=1-pearl) [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) [Tomex](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Tomex) $5.00 10 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:58 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:58 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:58 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:58 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:58 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:58 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) [Tomex](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Tomex) $5.00 10 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:58 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:58 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:58 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $741 (148.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 79.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $79.39 on average: an expected loss of $20.61 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt