--- title: "10% DRAGON LORE case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% DRAGON LORE ($6,467.77) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 103.31% over 136 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon-lore rendered: 2026-11-11T13:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [10% DRAGON LORE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon-lore) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 10% DRAGON LORE A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon-lore?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon-lore?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon-lore) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon-lore?window=all) Price · $6,467.77 · 12,936 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 103.31% · 136 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 136 openings · below min 7 days · 136 openings · below min 30 days · 136 openings · below min since tracking started · 136 openings · below min 32.0% 103.3% 174.5% **Small sample.** 136 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon-lore?window=24h) | 136 | 103.31% ±70.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon-lore?window=7d) | 136 | 103.31% ±70.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon-lore) | 136 | 103.31% ±70.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon-lore?window=all) | 136 | 103.31% ±70.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins $217K 434,217 coins 33.57x 2026-11-11 11:13 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins $112K 223,312 coins 17.26x 2026-11-11 11:22 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins $112K 223,312 coins 17.26x 2026-11-11 11:13 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins $112K 223,312 coins 17.26x 2026-11-11 11:13 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins $112K 223,312 coins 17.26x 2026-11-11 11:13 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 6.38x 2026-11-11 11:22 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 6.38x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 6.38x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 6.38x 2026-11-11 11:13 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins $26.7K 53,347 coins 4.12x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=10-dragon-lore) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:22 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 6.38x 2026-11-11 11:22 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:22 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:22 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:22 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins $112K 223,312 coins 17.26x 2026-11-11 11:22 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:22 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:22 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $6,468 12,936 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $217K (33.57x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 103.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $103.31 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt