--- title: "10% Dragon case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Dragon ($12.50) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 59.68% over 1,504 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon rendered: 2026-11-11T22:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [10% Dragon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 10% Dragon A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon?window=all) Price · $12.50 · 25 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 59.68% · 1,504 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 208 openings · below min 7 days · 836 openings · below min 30 days · 59.68% ±10.57 1,504 openings since tracking started · 59.68% ±10.57 1,504 openings 25.5% 53.5% 81.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon?window=24h) | 208 | 53.54% ±27.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon?window=7d) | 836 | 56.53% ±14.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon) | 1,504 | 59.68% ±10.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-dragon?window=all) | 1,504 | 59.68% ±10.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=10-dragon) [SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $0.31 0.62 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC [SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $0.31 0.62 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC [SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $0.31 0.62 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC [SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $0.31 0.62 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC [SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $0.31 0.62 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $59.52 119 coins 4.76x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC [SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $0.31 0.62 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC [SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) [BigNIg2000](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BigNIg2000) $12.50 25 coins $0.31 0.62 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC [SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $0.31 0.62 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:12 UTC [SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $0.31 0.62 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 59.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $59.68 on average: an expected loss of $40.32 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt