--- title: "10% GOAT HUNT case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% GOAT HUNT ($50.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.12% over 222 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-goat-hunt rendered: 2026-11-12T04:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [10% GOAT HUNT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-goat-hunt) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 10% GOAT HUNT A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-goat-hunt?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-goat-hunt?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-goat-hunt) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-goat-hunt?window=all) Price · $50.00 · 100 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.12% · 222 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 158 openings · below min 30 days · 222 openings · below min since tracking started · 222 openings · below min 33.5% 117.5% 201.5% **Small sample.** 222 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-goat-hunt?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-goat-hunt?window=7d) | 158 | 121.42% ±79.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-goat-hunt) | 222 | 91.12% ±57.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-goat-hunt?window=all) | 222 | 91.12% ±57.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [crazies](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/crazies) $50.00 100 coins $1,764 3,528 coins 35.28x 2026-11-09 14:48 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [cherrylea](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/cherrylea) $50.00 100 coins $1,764 3,528 coins 35.28x 2026-11-09 14:42 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $1,505 3,010 coins 30.10x 2026-11-09 14:43 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) [wannagambles](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/wannagambles) $50.00 100 coins $811 1,623 coins 16.23x 2026-11-10 02:00 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $811 1,623 coins 16.23x 2026-11-09 14:45 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=10-goat-hunt) [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:54 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:54 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:54 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:54 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:54 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:54 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:54 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) [wannagambles](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/wannagambles) $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:54 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Stained (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-stained-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $186 372 coins 3.72x 2026-11-10 01:54 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,764 (35.28x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.12 on average: an expected loss of $8.88 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt