---
title: "10% Green case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "10% Green ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.12% over 5,260 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-green
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:59Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [10% Green](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-green)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 10% Green

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-green?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-green?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-green) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-green?window=all)

Price · $5.00 · 10 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.12% · 5,260 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 302 openings · below min

7 days · 91.35% ±15.93 3,960 openings

30 days · 87.12% ±12.96 5,260 openings

since tracking started · 87.12% ±12.96 5,260 openings

-0.5% 125.5% 251.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-green?window=24h) | 302 | 116.57% ±134.3 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-green?window=7d) | 3,960 | 91.35% ±15.9 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-green) | 5,260 | 87.12% ±13.0 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-green?window=all) | 5,260 | 87.12% ±13.0 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $1,022 2,043 coins 204.3x 2026-11-10 22:42 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) weapon · red · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $466 933 coins 93.29x 2026-11-10 16:10 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) weapon · red · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $466 933 coins 93.29x 2026-11-09 21:44 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) weapon · red · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $466 933 coins 93.29x 2026-11-09 00:55 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) weapon · red · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $466 933 coins 93.29x 2026-11-02 22:17 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=10-green)

[Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $30.12 60.24 coins 6.02x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC

[XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC

[XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC

[XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC

[XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC

[XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC

[XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC

[XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) [BigNIg2000](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BigNIg2000) $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC

[XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC

[XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $1,022 (204.3x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.12 on average: an expected loss of $12.88 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
