--- title: "10% OUTRAGEOUS LUCK case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% OUTRAGEOUS LUCK ($12.50) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.77% over 178 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-outrageous-luck rendered: 2026-11-12T10:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [10% OUTRAGEOUS LUCK](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-outrageous-luck) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 10% OUTRAGEOUS LUCK A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-outrageous-luck?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-outrageous-luck?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-outrageous-luck) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-outrageous-luck?window=all) Price · $12.50 · 25 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.77% · 178 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 78 openings · below min 30 days · 178 openings · below min since tracking started · 178 openings · below min -0.5% 289.5% 579.5% **Small sample.** 178 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-outrageous-luck?window=24h) | 8 | 233.21% ±345.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-outrageous-luck?window=7d) | 78 | 77.61% ±59.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-outrageous-luck) | 178 | 91.77% ±49.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-outrageous-luck?window=all) | 178 | 91.77% ±49.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=10-outrageous-luck) [Tec-9 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-urban-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:52 UTC [Five-SeveN | Neon Kimono (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $181 361 coins 14.45x 2026-11-12 05:52 UTC [Tec-9 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-urban-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:52 UTC [Charm | Glamour Shot charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-glamour-shot) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $26.25 52.5 coins 2.10x 2026-11-12 05:52 UTC [Tec-9 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-urban-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:49 UTC [Tec-9 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-urban-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:49 UTC [Charm | Glamour Shot charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-glamour-shot) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $26.25 52.5 coins 2.10x 2026-11-12 05:49 UTC [Tec-9 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-urban-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:49 UTC [Tec-9 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-urban-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 16:22 UTC [Tec-9 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-urban-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 16:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.77 on average: an expected loss of $8.23 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt