--- title: "10% Sticker case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Sticker ($264.93) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 87.38% over 1,134 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-sticker rendered: 2026-11-11T13:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [10% Sticker](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-sticker) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 10% Sticker A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-sticker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-sticker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-sticker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-sticker?window=all) Price · $264.93 · 530 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $238.43 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.38% · 1,134 openings, odds method Variance · 9.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 29 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 74.81% ±48.99 152 openings 7 days · 88.00% ±18.00 1,126 openings 30 days · 87.38% ±17.93 1,134 openings since tracking started · 87.38% ±17.93 1,134 openings 25.0% 74.8% 124.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-sticker?window=24h) | 152 | 74.81% ±49.0 | −0.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-sticker?window=7d) | 1,126 | 88.00% ±18.0 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-sticker) | 1,134 | 87.38% ±17.9 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/10-sticker?window=all) | 1,134 | 87.38% ±17.9 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,150 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Clan-Mystik (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,774 13,548 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $6,328 12,655 coins | 5.3% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× | | [Sticker \| captainMo (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-captainmo-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 333 | $5,513 11,026 coins | 6.9% | 1 | 3.5 | 0.29× | | [Sticker \| HEN1 (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hen1-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 250 | $4,137 8,274 coins | 6.9% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.09× | | [Sticker \| keshandr (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 200 | $3,915 7,830 coins | 8.2% | 5 | 5.8 | 0.87× | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $3,097 6,194 coins | 6.5% | 5 | 5.8 | 0.87× | | [Sticker \| keev (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keev-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 200 | $2,948 5,895 coins | 6.2% | 6 | 5.8 | 1.04× | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $2,919 5,838 coins | 6.1% | 8 | 5.8 | 1.39× | | [Sticker \| Titan \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $2,877 5,754 coins | 6.0% | 6 | 5.8 | 1.04× | | [Sticker \| s1mple (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 133 | $2,401 4,803 coins | 7.6% | 8 | 8.6 | 0.93× | | [Sticker \| Happy (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-happy-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 133 | $2,121 4,242 coins | 6.7% | 9 | 8.6 | 1.04× | | [Sticker \| compLexity Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 80 | $1,723 3,447 coins | 9.0% | 16 | 14.4 | 1.11× | | [Sticker \| LEGIJA (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-legija-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 80 | $1,473 2,947 coins | 7.7% | 20 | 14.4 | 1.39× | | [Sticker \| JW (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jw-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 80 | $1,410 2,820 coins | 7.4% | 13 | 14.4 | 0.90× | | [Sticker \| mir (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mir-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 80 | $1,250 2,500 coins | 6.6% | 15 | 14.4 | 1.04× | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 90.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 1,031 | 1035.0 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $265 530 coins $6,328 12,655 coins 23.88x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $265 530 coins $6,328 12,655 coins 23.88x 2026-11-09 11:52 UTC [Sticker | captainMo (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-captainmo-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $265 530 coins $5,513 11,026 coins 20.81x 2026-11-06 17:42 UTC [Sticker | HEN1 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hen1-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $265 530 coins $4,137 8,274 coins 15.62x 2026-11-07 21:59 UTC [Sticker | HEN1 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hen1-gold-boston-2018) [pooop](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/pooop) $265 530 coins $4,137 8,274 coins 15.62x 2026-11-06 17:42 UTC [Sticker | HEN1 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hen1-gold-boston-2018) [djpeeh](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/djpeeh) $265 530 coins $4,137 8,274 coins 15.62x 2026-11-05 21:58 UTC [Sticker | HEN1 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hen1-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $265 530 coins $4,137 8,274 coins 15.62x 2026-11-05 08:33 UTC [Sticker | HEN1 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hen1-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $265 530 coins $4,137 8,274 coins 15.62x 2026-11-04 22:13 UTC [Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $265 530 coins $3,915 7,830 coins 14.78x 2026-11-11 11:09 UTC [Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) [Petitrequin00](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Petitrequin00) $265 530 coins $3,915 7,830 coins 14.78x 2026-11-09 13:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=10-sticker) [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $265 530 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $265 530 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $265 530 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $265 530 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $265 530 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $265 530 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $265 530 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $265 530 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $265 530 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $265 530 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $265 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.1% remarkable 1.5% extraordinary 3.2% #EB4B4B 0.5% high 1.5% other 2.5% Extraordinary 0.8% #4b69ff 90.0% best hit $6,328 (23.88x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt