--- title: "11% Paintball case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "11% Paintball ($18.78) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 60.30% over 310 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/11-paintball rendered: 2026-11-11T18:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [11% Paintball](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/11-paintball) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 11% Paintball A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/11-paintball?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/11-paintball?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/11-paintball) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/11-paintball?window=all) Price · $18.78 · 37.56 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 60.30% · 310 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 68 openings · below min 7 days · 310 openings · below min 30 days · 310 openings · below min since tracking started · 310 openings · below min 5.0% 55.0% 105.0% **Small sample.** 310 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/11-paintball?window=24h) | 68 | 25.94% ±20.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/11-paintball?window=7d) | 310 | 60.30% ±44.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/11-paintball) | 310 | 60.30% ±44.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/11-paintball?window=all) | 310 | 60.30% ±44.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $18.78 37.56 coins $1,022 2,043 coins 54.40x 2026-11-10 15:45 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $18.78 37.56 coins $554 1,109 coins 29.51x 2026-11-10 15:39 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $18.78 37.56 coins $554 1,109 coins 29.51x 2026-11-10 14:12 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=11-paintball) [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $18.78 37.56 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $18.78 37.56 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $18.78 37.56 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ump-45-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.78 37.56 coins $58.26 117 coins 3.10x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $18.78 37.56 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $18.78 37.56 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $18.78 37.56 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) [fficient](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/fficient) $18.78 37.56 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $18.78 37.56 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $18.78 37.56 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,022 (54.40x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 60.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $60.30 on average: an expected loss of $39.70 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt