--- title: "12% P250 OR KNIFE case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "12% P250 OR KNIFE ($29.50) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 118.97% over 326 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/12-p250-or-knife rendered: 2026-11-12T03:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [12% P250 OR KNIFE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/12-p250-or-knife) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 12% P250 OR KNIFE A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/12-p250-or-knife?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/12-p250-or-knife?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/12-p250-or-knife) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/12-p250-or-knife?window=all) Price · $29.50 · 59 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 118.97% · 326 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 326 openings · below min 30 days · 326 openings · below min since tracking started · 326 openings · below min 12.0% 119.0% 226.0% **Small sample.** 326 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/12-p250-or-knife?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/12-p250-or-knife?window=7d) | 326 | 118.97% ±106.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/12-p250-or-knife) | 326 | 118.97% ±106.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/12-p250-or-knife?window=all) | 326 | 118.97% ±106.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $29.50 59 coins $3,592 7,183 coins 121.7x 2026-11-08 03:20 UTC [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $29.50 59 coins $3,592 7,183 coins 121.7x 2026-11-08 03:19 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $29.50 59 coins $1,022 2,043 coins 34.63x 2026-11-08 03:19 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=12-p250-or-knife) [P250 | Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) Hidden $29.50 59 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 03:21 UTC [P250 | Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) Hidden $29.50 59 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 03:21 UTC [P250 | Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) Hidden $29.50 59 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 03:21 UTC [P250 | Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) Hidden $29.50 59 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 03:21 UTC [P250 | Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) Hidden $29.50 59 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 03:21 UTC [P250 | Undertow (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-factory-new) Hidden $29.50 59 coins $38.75 77.49 coins 1.31x 2026-11-08 03:21 UTC [P250 | Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) Hidden $29.50 59 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 03:21 UTC [P250 | Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) Hidden $29.50 59 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 03:21 UTC [P250 | Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) Hidden $29.50 59 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 03:20 UTC [P250 | Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) Hidden $29.50 59 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 03:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $3,592 (121.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 119.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $118.97 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt