--- title: "13 to 0 case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "13 to 0 ($57.53) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 105.05% over 38 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/13-to-0 rendered: 2026-11-11T21:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [13 to 0](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/13-to-0) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 13 to 0 A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/13-to-0?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/13-to-0?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/13-to-0) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/13-to-0?window=all) Price · $57.53 · 115 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $51.77 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 105.05% · 38 openings, odds method Variance · 4.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 32 openings · below min 7 days · 32 openings · below min 30 days · 38 openings · below min since tracking started · 38 openings · below min -0.5% 85.8% 172.0% **Small sample.** 38 openings and 4.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/13-to-0?window=24h) | 32 | 65.54% ±72.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/13-to-0?window=7d) | 32 | 65.54% ±72.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/13-to-0) | 38 | 105.05% ±66.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/13-to-0?window=all) | 38 | 105.05% ±66.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 38 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 13.0% | $362 723 coins | 90.8% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.21× | | [M4A4 \| Zirka (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zirka-factory-new) | 13.0% | $26.68 53.36 coins | 6.7% | 3 | 4.9 | 0.61× | | [MP9 \| Setting Sun (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-field-tested) | 13.0% | $3.21 6.41 coins | 0.8% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.01× | | [R8 Revolver \| Canal Spray (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-canal-spray-factory-new) | 13.0% | $2.71 5.41 coins | 0.7% | 2 | 4.9 | 0.40× | | [P250 \| Contamination (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contamination-factory-new) | 13.0% | $1.61 3.21 coins | 0.4% | 7 | 4.9 | 1.42× | | [MAC-10 \| Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-urban-ddpat-field-tested) | 13.0% | $1.27 2.53 coins | 0.3% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.21× | | [MAC-10 \| Button Masher (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-factory-new) | 13.0% | $0.77 1.53 coins | 0.2% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.21× | | [UMP-45 \| Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.50 1 coins | 0.1% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.88× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=13-to-0) [MP9 | Setting Sun (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-field-tested) Hidden $57.53 115 coins $3.21 6.41 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [P250 | Contamination (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contamination-factory-new) Hidden $57.53 115 coins $1.61 3.21 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $57.53 115 coins $362 723 coins 6.29x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [MAC-10 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-urban-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $57.53 115 coins $1.27 2.53 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [R8 Revolver | Canal Spray (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-canal-spray-factory-new) Hidden $57.53 115 coins $2.71 5.41 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [MAC-10 | Button Masher (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-factory-new) Hidden $57.53 115 coins $0.77 1.53 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [R8 Revolver | Canal Spray (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-canal-spray-factory-new) Hidden $57.53 115 coins $2.71 5.41 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [kvaki](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/kvaki) $57.53 115 coins $362 723 coins 6.29x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [M4A4 | Zirka (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zirka-factory-new) Hidden $57.53 115 coins $26.68 53.36 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 16:16 UTC [P250 | Contamination (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contamination-factory-new) Hidden $57.53 115 coins $1.61 3.21 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $57.53 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed gold 13.0% restricted 13.0% mil spec 13.0% consumer 26.0% industrial 13.0% #8847ff 13.0% blue 9.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt