--- title: "1.5 % Degen 10k top item on Chicken.gg: odds & RTP" description: "1.5 % Degen 10k top item ($12.50) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 182.77% over 946 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-degen-10k-top-item rendered: 2026-11-13T04:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [1.5 % Degen 10k top item](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-degen-10k-top-item) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 1.5 % Degen 10k top item A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-degen-10k-top-item?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-degen-10k-top-item?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-degen-10k-top-item) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-degen-10k-top-item?window=all) Price · $12.50 · 25 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 182.77% · 946 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 528 openings · below min 30 days · 946 openings · below min since tracking started · 946 openings · below min -0.5% 190.3% 381.0% **Small sample.** 946 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-degen-10k-top-item?window=24h) | 8 | 0.04% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-degen-10k-top-item?window=7d) | 528 | 205.41% ±175.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-degen-10k-top-item) | 946 | 182.77% ±132.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-degen-10k-top-item?window=all) | 946 | 182.77% ±132.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Charm | Chicken Lil' charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-chicken-lil) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $5,000 10,000 coins 400.0x 2026-11-08 19:46 UTC [Charm | Chicken Lil' charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-chicken-lil) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $5,000 10,000 coins 400.0x 2026-11-04 20:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $2,052 4,105 coins 164.2x 2026-11-06 18:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $2,052 4,105 coins 164.2x 2026-11-05 15:41 UTC [Sticker | NiKo (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,253 2,507 coins 100.3x 2026-11-06 18:43 UTC [Sticker | NiKo (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,253 2,507 coins 100.3x 2026-11-06 18:40 UTC [Sticker | NiKo (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,253 2,507 coins 100.3x 2026-11-06 18:40 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [insane67](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/insane67) $12.50 25 coins $538 1,077 coins 43.08x 2026-11-06 18:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $538 1,077 coins 43.08x 2026-11-06 18:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $538 1,077 coins 43.08x 2026-11-06 18:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=15-degen-10k-top-item) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:52 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:52 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:52 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:52 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:38 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $5,000 (400.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 182.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $182.77 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt