--- title: "15% Gloves case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "15% Gloves ($39.10) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 108.70% over 1,338 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-gloves rendered: 2026-11-11T13:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [15% Gloves](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-gloves) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 15% Gloves A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-gloves?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-gloves?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-gloves) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-gloves?window=all) Price · $39.10 · 78.19 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $35.18 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 108.70% · 1,338 openings, odds method Variance · 18.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 48 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 105.64% ±47.23 310 openings 7 days · 111.70% ±24.09 1,192 openings 30 days · 108.70% ±22.74 1,338 openings since tracking started · 108.70% ±22.74 1,338 openings 58.0% 105.7% 153.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-gloves?window=24h) | 310 | 105.64% ±47.2 | +0.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-gloves?window=7d) | 1,192 | 111.70% ±24.1 | +1.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-gloves) | 1,338 | 108.70% ±22.7 | +1.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-gloves?window=all) | 1,338 | 108.70% ±22.7 | +1.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,338 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,885 3,771 coins | 2.7% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-factory-new) | 1 in 1,333 | $1,252 2,504 coins | 2.7% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,239 2,478 coins | 35.2% | 12 | 13.4 | 0.90× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-factory-new) | 1 in 105 | $967 1,934 coins | 26.1% | 20 | 12.7 | 1.57× | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-factory-new) | 1 in 101 | $285 571 coins | 8.1% | 19 | 13.3 | 1.43× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $133 265 coins | 7.5% | 43 | 26.8 | 1.61× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Badlands (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-badlands-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $77.16 154 coins | 5.3% | 33 | 32.5 | 1.01× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $70.66 141 coins | 5.0% | 27 | 33.5 | 0.81× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Convoy (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-convoy-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $51.73 103 coins | 7.4% | 76 | 66.9 | 1.14× | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 85.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 1,106 | 1137.3 | 0.97× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) Hidden $39.10 78.19 coins $1,885 3,771 coins 48.23x 2026-11-03 11:42 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-factory-new) Hidden $39.10 78.19 coins $1,252 2,504 coins 32.02x 2026-11-04 18:07 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) Hidden $39.10 78.19 coins $1,239 2,478 coins 31.69x 2026-11-10 18:39 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) Hidden $39.10 78.19 coins $1,239 2,478 coins 31.69x 2026-11-10 07:09 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) Hidden $39.10 78.19 coins $1,239 2,478 coins 31.69x 2026-11-10 03:50 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) Hidden $39.10 78.19 coins $1,239 2,478 coins 31.69x 2026-11-09 18:03 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) Hidden $39.10 78.19 coins $1,239 2,478 coins 31.69x 2026-11-09 08:53 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) Hidden $39.10 78.19 coins $1,239 2,478 coins 31.69x 2026-11-08 23:58 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) Hidden $39.10 78.19 coins $1,239 2,478 coins 31.69x 2026-11-08 23:50 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) Hidden $39.10 78.19 coins $1,239 2,478 coins 31.69x 2026-11-08 23:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=15-gloves) [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $39.10 78.19 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:30 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $39.10 78.19 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:30 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $39.10 78.19 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:30 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $39.10 78.19 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:30 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Convoy (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-convoy-field-tested) Hidden $39.10 78.19 coins $51.73 103 coins 1.32x 2026-11-11 10:30 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $39.10 78.19 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:30 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $39.10 78.19 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:30 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-field-tested) [alexpaz050](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/alexpaz050) $39.10 78.19 coins $133 265 coins 3.39x 2026-11-11 10:30 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $39.10 78.19 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:29 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $39.10 78.19 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $39.10 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed epic 0.1% extraordinary 13.0% legendary 1.9% #4b69ff 85.0% best hit $1,885 (48.23x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt