--- title: "15% juicy HAO case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "15% juicy HAO ($4.19) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 136.38% over 54 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-juicy-hao rendered: 2026-11-12T16:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [15% juicy HAO](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-juicy-hao) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 15% juicy HAO A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-juicy-hao?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-juicy-hao?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-juicy-hao) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-juicy-hao?window=all) Price · $4.19 · 8.38 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 136.38% · 54 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 24 openings · below min 7 days · 32 openings · below min 30 days · 54 openings · below min since tracking started · 54 openings · below min 63.5% 177.5% 291.5% **Small sample.** 54 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-juicy-hao?window=24h) | 24 | 177.53% ±113.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-juicy-hao?window=7d) | 32 | 172.09% ±96.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-juicy-hao) | 54 | 136.38% ±68.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/15-juicy-hao?window=all) | 54 | 136.38% ±68.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=15-juicy-hao) [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $4.19 8.38 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:08 UTC [USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) Hidden $4.19 8.38 coins $25.96 51.91 coins 6.19x 2026-11-12 10:08 UTC [SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $4.19 8.38 coins $25.16 50.31 coins 6.00x 2026-11-12 10:08 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $4.19 8.38 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:08 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $4.19 8.38 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:08 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $4.19 8.38 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:08 UTC [USP-S | Business Class (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-business-class-field-tested) Hidden $4.19 8.38 coins $22.37 44.74 coins 5.34x 2026-11-12 10:08 UTC [USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) [SuperNayr](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/SuperNayr) $4.19 8.38 coins $26.63 53.26 coins 6.36x 2026-11-12 10:08 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $4.19 8.38 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:08 UTC [M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-modern-hunter-field-tested) Hidden $4.19 8.38 coins $25.41 50.82 coins 6.06x 2026-11-12 10:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 136.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $136.38 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt