--- title: "16% Black Pearls case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "16% Black Pearls ($24.81) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 103.49% over 1,130 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/16-black-pearls rendered: 2026-11-12T04:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [16% Black Pearls](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/16-black-pearls) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 16% Black Pearls A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/16-black-pearls?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/16-black-pearls?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/16-black-pearls) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/16-black-pearls?window=all) Price · $24.81 · 49.62 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 103.49% · 1,130 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 204 openings · below min 7 days · 103.49% ±36.36 1,130 openings 30 days · 103.49% ±36.36 1,130 openings since tracking started · 103.49% ±36.36 1,130 openings 30.0% 141.0% 252.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/16-black-pearls?window=24h) | 204 | 140.95% ±110.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/16-black-pearls?window=7d) | 1,130 | 103.49% ±36.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/16-black-pearls) | 1,130 | 103.49% ±36.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/16-black-pearls?window=all) | 1,130 | 103.49% ±36.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $24.81 49.62 coins $1,935 3,870 coins 77.99x 2026-11-11 12:10 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $24.81 49.62 coins $1,935 3,870 coins 77.99x 2026-11-11 12:10 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $24.81 49.62 coins $1,935 3,870 coins 77.99x 2026-11-10 13:48 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $24.81 49.62 coins $1,935 3,870 coins 77.99x 2026-11-10 01:47 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $24.81 49.62 coins $1,935 3,870 coins 77.99x 2026-11-09 18:02 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $24.81 49.62 coins $1,935 3,870 coins 77.99x 2026-11-09 17:58 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $24.81 49.62 coins $1,581 3,162 coins 63.72x 2026-11-10 06:51 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=16-black-pearls) [M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-field-tested) Hidden $24.81 49.62 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:00 UTC [M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-field-tested) Hidden $24.81 49.62 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:00 UTC [M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-field-tested) Hidden $24.81 49.62 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:00 UTC [M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-field-tested) Hidden $24.81 49.62 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:00 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $24.81 49.62 coins $423 847 coins 17.07x 2026-11-12 04:00 UTC [M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-field-tested) [fficient](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/fficient) $24.81 49.62 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:00 UTC [M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-field-tested) Hidden $24.81 49.62 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:00 UTC [Glock-18 | Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-factory-new) Hidden $24.81 49.62 coins $27.98 55.96 coins 1.13x 2026-11-12 04:00 UTC [M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-field-tested) Hidden $24.81 49.62 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:00 UTC [M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-field-tested) Hidden $24.81 49.62 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,935 (77.99x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 103.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $103.49 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt