--- title: "1%LilGriggy case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "1%LilGriggy ($5.69) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.89% over 20.8K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1lilgriggy rendered: 2026-11-11T20:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [1%LilGriggy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1lilgriggy) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 1%LilGriggy A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1lilgriggy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1lilgriggy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1lilgriggy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1lilgriggy?window=all) Price · $5.69 · 11.38 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.89% · 20.8K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 92.69% ±32.59 2,854 openings 7 days · 85.23% ±13.46 15.6K openings 30 days · 85.89% ±11.68 20.8K openings since tracking started · 85.89% ±11.68 20.8K openings 59.5% 92.8% 126.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1lilgriggy?window=24h) | 2,854 | 92.69% ±32.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1lilgriggy?window=7d) | 15.6K | 85.23% ±13.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1lilgriggy) | 20.8K | 85.89% ±11.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1lilgriggy?window=all) | 20.8K | 85.89% ±11.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $5.69 11.38 coins $557 1,113 coins 97.84x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $5.69 11.38 coins $557 1,113 coins 97.84x 2026-11-11 18:15 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $5.69 11.38 coins $557 1,113 coins 97.84x 2026-11-11 11:32 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $5.69 11.38 coins $557 1,113 coins 97.84x 2026-11-11 04:25 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $5.69 11.38 coins $557 1,113 coins 97.84x 2026-11-11 03:16 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $5.69 11.38 coins $557 1,113 coins 97.84x 2026-11-11 02:58 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $5.69 11.38 coins $557 1,113 coins 97.84x 2026-11-11 01:07 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $5.69 11.38 coins $557 1,113 coins 97.84x 2026-11-10 14:24 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $5.69 11.38 coins $557 1,113 coins 97.84x 2026-11-10 10:44 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $5.69 11.38 coins $557 1,113 coins 97.84x 2026-11-10 00:30 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=1lilgriggy) [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $5.69 11.38 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $5.69 11.38 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $5.69 11.38 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $5.69 11.38 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $5.69 11.38 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pink-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $5.69 11.38 coins $424 847 coins 74.46x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $5.69 11.38 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) [Jadegriggy](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Jadegriggy) $5.69 11.38 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $5.69 11.38 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:27 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $5.69 11.38 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $557 (97.84x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.89 on average: an expected loss of $14.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt