--- title: "2-bit case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "2-bit ($1.04) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.10% from 8 items with odds, observed 102.84% over 2,457 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bit rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [2-bit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bit) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 2-bit A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bit?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bit?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bit) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bit?window=all) Price · $1.04 · 2.07 coins Advertised RTP · 90.10% · EV $0.93 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 102.84% · 2,457 openings, odds method Variance · 20.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 27.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 148.06% ±56.73 243 openings 7 days · 103.72% ±19.33 2,093 openings 30 days · 102.84% ±17.84 2,457 openings since tracking started · 102.84% ±17.84 2,457 openings 83.5% 144.5% 205.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bit?window=24h) | 243 | 148.06% ±56.7 | +2.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bit?window=7d) | 2,093 | 103.72% ±19.3 | +1.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bit) | 2,457 | 102.84% ±17.8 | +1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bit?window=all) | 2,457 | 102.84% ±17.8 | +1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,457 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $100 201 coins | 10.8% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.63× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $100 201 coins | 10.8% | 5 | 2.5 | 2.04× | | [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $10.02 20.04 coins | 10.7% | 22 | 24.6 | 0.90× | | [Nova \| Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-green-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $10.01 20.02 coins | 10.7% | 21 | 24.6 | 0.85× | | [Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) | 25.0% | $1.01 2.02 coins | 27.1% | 560 | 614.3 | 0.91× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) | 25.0% | $1.01 2.02 coins | 27.1% | 641 | 614.3 | 1.04× | | [P250 \| Ripple (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-field-tested) | 24.0% | $0.10 0.2 coins | 2.6% | 621 | 589.7 | 1.05× | | [M249 \| Gator Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-gator-mesh-field-tested) | 23.8% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.3% | 583 | 584.8 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-factory-new) Hidden $1.04 2.07 coins $100 201 coins 97.08x 2026-11-09 09:55 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-factory-new) Hidden $1.04 2.07 coins $100 201 coins 97.08x 2026-11-08 18:01 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-factory-new) Hidden $1.04 2.07 coins $100 201 coins 97.08x 2026-11-06 15:52 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-factory-new) Hidden $1.04 2.07 coins $100 201 coins 97.08x 2026-11-06 02:15 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) [420Skabais](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/420Skabais) $1.04 2.07 coins $100 201 coins 96.93x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $1.04 2.07 coins $100 201 coins 96.93x 2026-11-10 19:53 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $1.04 2.07 coins $100 201 coins 96.93x 2026-11-08 10:38 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $1.04 2.07 coins $100 201 coins 96.93x 2026-11-05 19:27 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $1.04 2.07 coins $100 201 coins 96.93x 2026-11-03 20:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=2-bit) [CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $1.04 2.07 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.98x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $1.04 2.07 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.98x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) Hidden $1.04 2.07 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.98x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC [P250 | Ripple (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-field-tested) Hidden $1.04 2.07 coins $0.10 0.2 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) Hidden $1.04 2.07 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.98x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) [420Skabais](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/420Skabais) $1.04 2.07 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.98x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC [P250 | Ripple (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-field-tested) Hidden $1.04 2.07 coins $0.10 0.2 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:46 UTC [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) Hidden $1.04 2.07 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.98x 2026-11-11 12:46 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $1.04 2.07 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.98x 2026-11-11 12:46 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $1.04 2.07 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.98x 2026-11-11 12:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.04 | 90.10% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 2 23.8% covert knife 0.1% covert 0.1% classified 1.0% industrial 1.0% restricted 25.0% #8847ff 25.0% #4b69ff 24.0% best hit $100 (97.08x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.10 on average: an expected loss of $9.90 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt