--- title: "2% Bounty case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "2% Bounty ($12.50) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.77% over 2,202 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bounty rendered: 2026-11-13T00:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [2% Bounty](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bounty) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 2% Bounty A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bounty?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bounty?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bounty) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bounty?window=all) Price · $12.50 · 25 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.77% · 2,202 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 138 openings · below min 7 days · 78.60% ±33.93 1,584 openings 30 days · 87.77% ±32.80 2,202 openings since tracking started · 87.77% ±32.80 2,202 openings -0.5% 94.3% 189.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bounty?window=24h) | 138 | 93.85% ±94.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bounty?window=7d) | 1,584 | 78.60% ±33.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bounty) | 2,202 | 87.77% ±32.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/2-bounty?window=all) | 2,202 | 87.77% ±32.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,872 3,743 coins 149.7x 2026-11-06 17:36 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) [LadyboyAlice](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/LadyboyAlice) $12.50 25 coins $1,872 3,743 coins 149.7x 2026-11-05 18:55 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,872 3,743 coins 149.7x 2026-11-02 23:13 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,454 2,909 coins 116.3x 2026-11-07 11:25 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,010 2,020 coins 80.80x 2026-11-07 13:14 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,010 2,020 coins 80.80x 2026-11-05 15:46 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $914 1,828 coins 73.13x 2026-11-08 01:59 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $816 1,631 coins 65.25x 2026-11-06 14:50 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $598 1,195 coins 47.82x 2026-11-12 19:34 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $598 1,195 coins 47.82x 2026-11-04 19:27 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=2-bounty) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 19:34 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $598 1,195 coins 47.82x 2026-11-12 19:34 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 19:34 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 19:34 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 19:34 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 19:34 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 19:34 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 19:34 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 19:32 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 19:32 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,872 (149.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.77 on average: an expected loss of $12.23 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt