--- title: "2.2 megabigwin!!! case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "2.2 megabigwin!!! ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 112.62% over 1,766 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/22-megabigwin rendered: 2026-11-12T23:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [2.2 megabigwin!!!](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/22-megabigwin) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 2.2 megabigwin!!! A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/22-megabigwin?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/22-megabigwin?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/22-megabigwin) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/22-megabigwin?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 10 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 112.62% · 1,766 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 102 openings · below min 7 days · 121.76% ±42.91 1,332 openings 30 days · 112.62% ±37.72 1,766 openings since tracking started · 112.62% ±37.72 1,766 openings 2.0% 142.5% 283.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/22-megabigwin?window=24h) | 102 | 142.61% ±139.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/22-megabigwin?window=7d) | 1,332 | 121.76% ±42.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/22-megabigwin) | 1,766 | 112.62% ±37.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/22-megabigwin?window=all) | 1,766 | 112.62% ±37.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $755 1,509 coins 150.9x 2026-11-06 00:38 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $755 1,509 coins 150.9x 2026-11-03 07:16 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [VividTalon8209](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/VividTalon8209) $5.00 10 coins $500 1,000 coins 100.0x 2026-11-09 15:33 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $500 1,000 coins 100.0x 2026-11-06 01:33 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $251 503 coins 50.28x 2026-11-06 22:06 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $251 503 coins 50.28x 2026-11-06 01:33 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $251 503 coins 50.28x 2026-11-06 01:33 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $251 503 coins 50.28x 2026-11-06 01:31 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=22-megabigwin) [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $125 251 coins 25.05x 2026-11-12 21:30 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:30 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [patriarch1337](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/patriarch1337) $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:30 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:30 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $125 251 coins 25.05x 2026-11-12 21:30 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:30 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:30 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:29 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [patriarch1337](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/patriarch1337) $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:29 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $755 (150.9x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 112.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $112.62 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt