--- title: "2.4% Baller case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "2.4% Baller ($2.50) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 155.37% over 406 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-baller rendered: 2026-11-12T11:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [2.4% Baller](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-baller) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 2.4% Baller A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-baller?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-baller?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-baller) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-baller?window=all) Price · $2.50 · 4.99 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 155.37% · 406 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 384 openings · below min 30 days · 406 openings · below min since tracking started · 406 openings · below min 11.5% 163.8% 316.0% **Small sample.** 406 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-baller?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-baller?window=7d) | 384 | 164.26% ±151.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-baller) | 406 | 155.37% ±143.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-baller?window=all) | 406 | 155.37% ±143.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.50 4.99 coins $617 1,234 coins 247.2x 2026-11-08 07:45 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.50 4.99 coins $249 497 coins 99.68x 2026-11-08 14:01 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.50 4.99 coins $249 497 coins 99.68x 2026-11-08 13:56 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=24-baller) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [LunarComet2794](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/LunarComet2794) $2.50 4.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:09 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 4.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:09 UTC [P250 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.50 4.99 coins $23.04 46.07 coins 9.23x 2026-11-10 13:09 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 4.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:09 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 4.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:09 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 4.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:09 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 4.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:09 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 4.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:09 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 4.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 16:56 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 4.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 16:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $617 (247.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 155.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $155.37 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt