--- title: "2.4% by PauMo case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "2.4% by PauMo ($13.37) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 77.91% over 520 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-by-paumo rendered: 2026-11-12T15:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [2.4% by PauMo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-by-paumo) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 2.4% by PauMo A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-by-paumo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-by-paumo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-by-paumo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-by-paumo?window=all) Price · $13.37 · 26.74 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 77.91% · 520 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 136 openings · below min 30 days · 520 openings · below min since tracking started · 520 openings · below min -0.5% 63.3% 127.0% **Small sample.** 520 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-by-paumo?window=24h) | 6 | 3.74% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-by-paumo?window=7d) | 136 | 27.85% ±47.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-by-paumo) | 520 | 77.91% ±48.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-by-paumo?window=all) | 520 | 77.91% ±48.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $13.37 26.74 coins $1,112 2,225 coins 83.20x 2026-11-03 23:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=24-by-paumo) [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) Hidden $13.37 26.74 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) Hidden $13.37 26.74 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) Hidden $13.37 26.74 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) Hidden $13.37 26.74 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) Hidden $13.37 26.74 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) [narkobaron](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/narkobaron) $13.37 26.74 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) Hidden $13.37 26.74 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-09 19:17 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) [HAL](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/HAL) $13.37 26.74 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-09 19:17 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) Hidden $13.37 26.74 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-09 19:15 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) Hidden $13.37 26.74 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-09 19:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,112 (83.20x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 77.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $77.91 on average: an expected loss of $22.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt