---
title: "2.4% MAXWIN case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "2.4% MAXWIN ($31.34) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 134.16% over 508 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-maxwin
rendered: 2026-11-12T16:03Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [2.4% MAXWIN](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-maxwin)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 2.4% MAXWIN

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-maxwin?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-maxwin?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-maxwin) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-maxwin?window=all)

Price · $31.34 · 62.67 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 134.16% · 508 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 124 openings · below min

30 days · 508 openings · below min

since tracking started · 508 openings · below min

-0.5% 283.5% 567.5%

**Small sample.** 508 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-maxwin?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-maxwin?window=7d) | 124 | 191.59% ±375.5 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-maxwin) | 508 | 134.16% ±113.7 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/24-maxwin?window=all) | 508 | 134.16% ±113.7 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $31.34 62.67 coins $7,444 14,887 coins 237.6x 2026-11-09 02:53 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $31.34 62.67 coins $3,288 6,576 coins 104.9x 2026-11-03 02:13 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $31.34 62.67 coins $2,169 4,338 coins 69.23x 2026-11-03 12:19 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $31.34 62.67 coins $2,169 4,338 coins 69.23x 2026-11-03 12:09 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $31.34 62.67 coins $2,169 4,338 coins 69.23x 2026-11-03 02:01 UTC

[AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) Hidden $31.34 62.67 coins $1,371 2,743 coins 43.76x 2026-11-03 23:15 UTC

[AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) Hidden $31.34 62.67 coins $1,371 2,743 coins 43.76x 2026-11-03 02:29 UTC

[AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) Hidden $31.34 62.67 coins $1,371 2,743 coins 43.76x 2026-11-03 02:03 UTC

[AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) Hidden $31.34 62.67 coins $1,371 2,743 coins 43.76x 2026-11-03 02:02 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=24-maxwin)

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $31.34 62.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 02:55 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $31.34 62.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 02:55 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $31.34 62.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 02:55 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $31.34 62.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 02:55 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $31.34 62.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 02:55 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $31.34 62.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 02:55 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $31.34 62.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 02:55 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [Berrysteinfeld](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Berrysteinfeld) $31.34 62.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 02:55 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $31.34 62.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 02:54 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $31.34 62.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 02:54 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $7,444 (237.6x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 134.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $134.16 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
