--- title: "2.40 % case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "2.40 % ($3.32) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 78.11% over 368 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/240 rendered: 2026-11-12T10:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [2.40 %](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/240) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 2.40 % A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/240?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/240?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/240) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/240?window=all) Price · $3.32 · 6.63 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 78.11% · 368 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 302 openings · below min 30 days · 368 openings · below min since tracking started · 368 openings · below min 26.5% 92.0% 157.5% **Small sample.** 368 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/240?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/240?window=7d) | 302 | 94.98% ±61.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/240) | 368 | 78.11% ±50.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/240?window=all) | 368 | 78.11% ±50.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-lore-factory-new) [NeonSnipe2534](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/NeonSnipe2534) $3.32 6.63 coins $227 454 coins 68.49x 2026-11-10 13:07 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=240) [Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fubar-field-tested) Hidden $3.32 6.63 coins $0.03 0.06 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 13:12 UTC [Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fubar-field-tested) Hidden $3.32 6.63 coins $0.03 0.06 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 13:12 UTC [Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fubar-field-tested) Hidden $3.32 6.63 coins $0.03 0.06 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 13:12 UTC [Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fubar-field-tested) Hidden $3.32 6.63 coins $0.03 0.06 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 13:12 UTC [Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fubar-field-tested) Hidden $3.32 6.63 coins $0.03 0.06 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 13:12 UTC [Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fubar-field-tested) [NeonSnipe2534](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/NeonSnipe2534) $3.32 6.63 coins $0.03 0.06 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 13:12 UTC [Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fubar-field-tested) Hidden $3.32 6.63 coins $0.03 0.06 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 13:12 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.32 6.63 coins $71.51 143 coins 21.57x 2026-11-10 13:12 UTC [Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fubar-field-tested) Hidden $3.32 6.63 coins $0.03 0.06 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 13:12 UTC [Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fubar-field-tested) Hidden $3.32 6.63 coins $0.03 0.06 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 13:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $227 (68.49x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 78.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $78.11 on average: an expected loss of $21.89 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt