---
title: "2.5% 1% 0.1% KX case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "2.5% 1% 0.1% KX ($50.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 29.26% over 124 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-1-01-kx
rendered: 2026-11-13T00:15Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [2.5% 1% 0.1% KX](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-1-01-kx)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 2.5% 1% 0.1% KX

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-1-01-kx?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-1-01-kx?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-1-01-kx) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-1-01-kx?window=all)

Price · $50.00 · 100 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 29.26% · 124 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 40 openings · below min

7 days · 124 openings · below min

30 days · 124 openings · below min

since tracking started · 124 openings · below min

-0.5% 46.3% 93.0%

**Small sample.** 124 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-1-01-kx?window=24h) | 40 | 31.86% ±60.5 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-1-01-kx?window=7d) | 124 | 29.26% ±31.8 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-1-01-kx) | 124 | 29.26% ±31.8 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-1-01-kx?window=all) | 124 | 29.26% ±31.8 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $618 1,235 coins 12.35x 2026-11-12 21:56 UTC

[★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $618 1,235 coins 12.35x 2026-11-11 14:39 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $518 1,037 coins 10.37x 2026-11-10 15:18 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=25-1-01-kx)

[Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC

[Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC

[Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC

[Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC

[Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC

[Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC

[Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC

[Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC

[Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 21:58 UTC

[Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 21:58 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $618 (12.35x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 29.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $29.26 on average: an expected loss of $70.74 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
