--- title: "2.5% Charms case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "2.5% Charms ($8.26) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 126.95% over 74 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-charms rendered: 2026-11-11T19:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [2.5% Charms](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-charms) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 2.5% Charms A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-charms?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-charms?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-charms) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-charms?window=all) Price · $8.26 · 16.52 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 126.95% · 74 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 74 openings · below min 30 days · 74 openings · below min since tracking started · 74 openings · below min -0.5% 154.5% 309.5% **Small sample.** 74 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-charms?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-charms?window=7d) | 74 | 126.95% ±181.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-charms) | 74 | 126.95% ±181.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-charms?window=all) | 74 | 126.95% ±181.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Charm | Lil' Sandy charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sandy) Hidden $8.26 16.52 coins $530 1,060 coins 64.16x 2026-11-09 17:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=25-charms) [Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $8.26 16.52 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 17:25 UTC [Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $8.26 16.52 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 17:25 UTC [Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $8.26 16.52 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 17:25 UTC [Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $8.26 16.52 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 17:25 UTC [Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $8.26 16.52 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 17:25 UTC [Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $8.26 16.52 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 17:25 UTC [Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $8.26 16.52 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 17:25 UTC [Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $8.26 16.52 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 17:25 UTC [Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $8.26 16.52 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 17:25 UTC [Charm | Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) Hidden $8.26 16.52 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 17:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $530 (64.16x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 127.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $126.96 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt