--- title: "2.5% Dreamer case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "2.5% Dreamer ($25.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 67.51% over 1,114 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-dreamer rendered: 2026-11-11T19:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [2.5% Dreamer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-dreamer) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 2.5% Dreamer A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-dreamer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-dreamer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-dreamer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-dreamer?window=all) Price · $25.00 · 50 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 67.51% · 1,114 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 260 openings · below min 7 days · 908 openings · below min 30 days · 67.51% ±31.20 1,114 openings since tracking started · 67.51% ±31.20 1,114 openings -0.5% 60.8% 122.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-dreamer?window=24h) | 260 | 59.01% ±62.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-dreamer?window=7d) | 908 | 66.53% ±34.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-dreamer) | 1,114 | 67.51% ±31.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-dreamer?window=all) | 1,114 | 67.51% ±31.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $1,429 2,858 coins 57.16x 2026-11-11 09:34 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [RallyPo](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/RallyPo) $25.00 50 coins $1,429 2,858 coins 57.16x 2026-11-10 13:51 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $1,429 2,858 coins 57.16x 2026-11-06 13:37 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $1,293 2,585 coins 51.70x 2026-11-10 23:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $1,293 2,585 coins 51.70x 2026-11-06 13:38 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $1,293 2,585 coins 51.70x 2026-11-05 19:20 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $1,293 2,585 coins 51.70x 2026-11-05 13:46 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $1,293 2,585 coins 51.70x 2026-11-04 20:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $1,293 2,585 coins 51.70x 2026-11-03 21:37 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [ladyluckslots](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/ladyluckslots) $25.00 50 coins $1,293 2,585 coins 51.70x 2026-11-03 01:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=25-dreamer) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 50 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:51 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [patriarch1337](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/patriarch1337) $25.00 50 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:51 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 50 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:51 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 50 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:51 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 50 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:51 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 50 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:51 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 50 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:40 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 50 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:40 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 50 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:40 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 50 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,429 (57.16x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 67.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $67.51 on average: an expected loss of $32.49 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt