--- title: "2.5% Griggy case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "2.5% Griggy ($8.56) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 77.74% over 1,094 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-griggy rendered: 2026-11-11T19:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [2.5% Griggy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-griggy) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 2.5% Griggy A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-griggy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-griggy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-griggy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-griggy?window=all) Price · $8.56 · 17.12 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 77.74% · 1,094 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 294 openings · below min 7 days · 80.96% ±41.51 1,030 openings 30 days · 77.74% ±39.18 1,094 openings since tracking started · 77.74% ±39.18 1,094 openings -0.5% 61.3% 123.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-griggy?window=24h) | 294 | 39.69% ±43.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-griggy?window=7d) | 1,030 | 80.96% ±41.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-griggy) | 1,094 | 77.74% ±39.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-griggy?window=all) | 1,094 | 77.74% ±39.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $8.56 17.12 coins $1,350 2,701 coins 157.8x 2026-11-09 05:59 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-stained-factory-new) Hidden $8.56 17.12 coins $508 1,015 coins 59.30x 2026-11-09 05:47 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-stained-factory-new) Hidden $8.56 17.12 coins $508 1,015 coins 59.30x 2026-11-09 00:58 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-stained-factory-new) Hidden $8.56 17.12 coins $508 1,015 coins 59.30x 2026-11-09 00:47 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $8.56 17.12 coins $491 981 coins 57.32x 2026-11-11 05:46 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $8.56 17.12 coins $491 981 coins 57.32x 2026-11-09 00:57 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=25-griggy) [MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-capillary-factory-new) Hidden $8.56 17.12 coins $0.23 0.47 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-capillary-factory-new) Hidden $8.56 17.12 coins $0.23 0.47 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-capillary-factory-new) Hidden $8.56 17.12 coins $0.23 0.47 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $8.56 17.12 coins $186 372 coins 21.71x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-capillary-factory-new) Hidden $8.56 17.12 coins $0.23 0.47 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-capillary-factory-new) [maddyb](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/maddyb) $8.56 17.12 coins $0.23 0.47 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-capillary-factory-new) [peepmeep67](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/peepmeep67) $8.56 17.12 coins $0.23 0.47 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-capillary-factory-new) [FilthyDaDegen](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/FilthyDaDegen) $8.56 17.12 coins $0.23 0.47 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-capillary-factory-new) Hidden $8.56 17.12 coins $0.23 0.47 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-capillary-factory-new) Hidden $8.56 17.12 coins $0.23 0.47 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,350 (157.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 77.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $77.74 on average: an expected loss of $22.26 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt