--- title: "2.5% Juicer case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "2.5% Juicer ($6.75) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.94% from 9 items with odds, observed 90.91% over 97.2K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-juicer rendered: 2026-11-11T21:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [2.5% Juicer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-juicer) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 2.5% Juicer A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-juicer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-juicer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-juicer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-juicer?window=all) Price · $6.75 · 13.49 coins Advertised RTP · 89.94% · EV $6.07 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.91% · 97.2K openings, odds method Variance · 50.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 167 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 79.38% ±11.41 14.9K openings 7 days · 90.09% ±5.43 66K openings 30 days · 90.91% ±4.47 97.2K openings since tracking started · 90.91% ±4.47 97.2K openings 67.5% 81.8% 96.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-juicer?window=24h) | 14.9K | 79.38% ±11.4 | −1.8σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-juicer?window=7d) | 66K | 90.09% ±5.43 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-juicer) | 97.2K | 90.91% ±4.47 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25-juicer?window=all) | 97.2K | 90.91% ±4.47 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 97.3K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $860 1,721 coins | 14.2% | 84 | 97.3 | 0.86× | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $556 1,113 coins | 9.2% | 102 | 97.3 | 1.05× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $434 868 coins | 14.3% | 187 | 194.5 | 0.96× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 500 | $416 831 coins | 13.7% | 217 | 194.5 | 1.12× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $401 802 coins | 13.2% | 226 | 194.5 | 1.16× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $175 350 coins | 14.4% | 483 | 486.3 | 0.99× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 167 | $100 200 coins | 9.9% | 566 | 583.5 | 0.97× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 167 | $75.32 151 coins | 7.4% | 577 | 583.5 | 0.99× | | [Five-SeveN \| Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-factory-new) | 97.5% | $0.23 0.45 coins | 3.6% | 94,816 | 94826.6 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $860 1,721 coins 127.6x 2026-11-11 21:32 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $860 1,721 coins 127.6x 2026-11-11 21:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $860 1,721 coins 127.6x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $860 1,721 coins 127.6x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $860 1,721 coins 127.6x 2026-11-11 19:32 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $860 1,721 coins 127.6x 2026-11-11 18:53 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $860 1,721 coins 127.6x 2026-11-11 18:48 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $860 1,721 coins 127.6x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $860 1,721 coins 127.6x 2026-11-11 08:17 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $860 1,721 coins 127.6x 2026-11-11 07:22 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=25-juicer) [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $0.23 0.45 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $0.23 0.45 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $0.23 0.45 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $0.23 0.45 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $0.23 0.45 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $0.23 0.45 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $0.23 0.45 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $0.23 0.45 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $0.23 0.45 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-factory-new) Hidden $6.75 13.49 coins $0.23 0.45 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $6.75 | 89.94% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 0.3% Covert 0.8% knifes 0.2% covert 1.2% industrial 97.5% best hit $860 (127.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.94 on average: an expected loss of $10.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt