--- title: "2.5%dream case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "2.5%dream ($14.01) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 27.22% over 140 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25dream rendered: 2026-11-12T12:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [2.5%dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25dream) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 2.5%dream A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25dream?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25dream?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25dream) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25dream?window=all) Price · $14.01 · 28.01 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 27.22% · 140 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 128 openings · below min 30 days · 140 openings · below min since tracking started · 140 openings · below min -0.5% 26.8% 54.0% **Small sample.** 140 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25dream?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25dream?window=7d) | 128 | 21.62% ±23.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25dream) | 140 | 27.22% ±26.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/25dream?window=all) | 140 | 27.22% ±26.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=25dream) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $14.01 28.01 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:42 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $14.01 28.01 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:42 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $14.01 28.01 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:42 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $14.01 28.01 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:42 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $14.01 28.01 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:42 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $14.01 28.01 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:42 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $14.01 28.01 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:42 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [wannagambles](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/wannagambles) $14.01 28.01 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:42 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [cherrylea](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/cherrylea) $14.01 28.01 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:20 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $14.01 28.01 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 27.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $27.22 on average: an expected loss of $72.78 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt