--- title: "3% AWP case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "3% AWP ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 76.52% over 7,200 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-awp rendered: 2026-11-11T23:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [3% AWP](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-awp) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 3% AWP A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-awp?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-awp?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-awp) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-awp?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 10 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 76.52% · 7,200 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 506 openings · below min 7 days · 71.89% ±19.71 4,892 openings 30 days · 76.52% ±16.42 7,200 openings since tracking started · 76.52% ±16.42 7,200 openings 19.5% 56.5% 93.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-awp?window=24h) | 506 | 49.92% ±29.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-awp?window=7d) | 4,892 | 71.89% ±19.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-awp) | 7,200 | 76.52% ±16.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-awp?window=all) | 7,200 | 76.52% ±16.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $1,661 3,323 coins 332.3x 2026-11-05 15:59 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $657 1,315 coins 131.5x 2026-11-10 15:55 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $657 1,315 coins 131.5x 2026-11-08 01:52 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $657 1,315 coins 131.5x 2026-11-07 01:10 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $657 1,315 coins 131.5x 2026-11-05 03:29 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $657 1,315 coins 131.5x 2026-11-04 18:47 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $657 1,315 coins 131.5x 2026-11-04 06:44 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $657 1,315 coins 131.5x 2026-11-04 06:42 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $657 1,315 coins 131.5x 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $657 1,315 coins 131.5x 2026-11-02 22:12 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=3-awp) [AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:44 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:44 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:44 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:44 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:44 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:44 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:44 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) [star123](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/star123) $5.00 10 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:44 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:11 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 23:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,661 (332.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.52 on average: an expected loss of $23.48 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt