--- title: "%3 emerald case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "%3 emerald ($0.20) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.88% over 11.1K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-emerald rendered: 2026-11-11T19:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [%3 emerald](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-emerald) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken)%3 emerald A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-emerald?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-emerald?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-emerald) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-emerald?window=all) Price · $0.20 · 0.4 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.88% · 11.1K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 742 openings · below min 7 days · 87.01% ±14.42 10.4K openings 30 days · 85.88% ±14.02 11.1K openings since tracking started · 85.88% ±14.02 11.1K openings 43.0% 80.3% 117.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-emerald?window=24h) | 742 | 80.16% ±36.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-emerald?window=7d) | 10.4K | 87.01% ±14.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-emerald) | 11.1K | 85.88% ±14.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-emerald?window=all) | 11.1K | 85.88% ±14.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) weapon · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) [mikeee](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/mikeee) $0.20 0.4 coins $44.54 89.07 coins 222.7x 2026-11-09 00:04 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) weapon · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $0.20 0.4 coins $44.54 89.07 coins 222.7x 2026-11-04 22:34 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) weapon · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $0.20 0.4 coins $44.54 89.07 coins 222.7x 2026-11-04 02:03 UTC [Glock-18 | Groundwater (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-groundwater-factory-new) Hidden $0.20 0.4 coins $40.01 80.02 coins 200.0x 2026-11-05 01:05 UTC [Glock-18 | Groundwater (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-groundwater-factory-new) Hidden $0.20 0.4 coins $40.01 80.02 coins 200.0x 2026-11-04 22:33 UTC [Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.20 0.4 coins $34.03 68.06 coins 170.2x 2026-11-10 01:03 UTC [Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.20 0.4 coins $34.03 68.06 coins 170.2x 2026-11-08 23:34 UTC [Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.20 0.4 coins $34.03 68.06 coins 170.2x 2026-11-07 00:02 UTC [P250 | Splash (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-factory-new) Hidden $0.20 0.4 coins $24.44 48.87 coins 122.2x 2026-11-09 11:51 UTC [P250 | Splash (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-factory-new) [mikeee](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/mikeee) $0.20 0.4 coins $24.44 48.87 coins 122.2x 2026-11-09 00:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=3-emerald) [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $0.20 0.4 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $0.20 0.4 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $0.20 0.4 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $0.20 0.4 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $0.20 0.4 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $0.20 0.4 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $0.20 0.4 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) [TIKTOKDIevas](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/TIKTOKDIevas) $0.20 0.4 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $0.20 0.4 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:31 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $0.20 0.4 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $44.54 (222.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.88 on average: an expected loss of $14.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt