---
title: "3% HOWL case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "3% HOWL ($125.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 63.80% over 112 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-howl
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:01Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [3% HOWL](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-howl)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 3% HOWL

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-howl?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-howl?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-howl) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-howl?window=all)

Price · $125.00 · 250 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 63.80% · 112 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 112 openings · below min

7 days · 112 openings · below min

30 days · 112 openings · below min

since tracking started · 112 openings · below min

-0.5% 67.5% 135.5%

**Small sample.** 112 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-howl?window=24h) | 112 | 63.80% ±71.0 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-howl?window=7d) | 112 | 63.80% ±71.0 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-howl) | 112 | 63.80% ±71.0 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-howl?window=all) | 112 | 63.80% ±71.0 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) [DOWANNAKNOW](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/DOWANNAKNOW) $125 250 coins $2,955 5,910 coins 23.64x 2026-11-11 10:32 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $125 250 coins $2,955 5,910 coins 23.64x 2026-11-11 10:32 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $125 250 coins $2,955 5,910 coins 23.64x 2026-11-11 10:32 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=3-howl)

[M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-factory-new) Hidden $125 250 coins $0.55 1.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:32 UTC

[M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-factory-new) Hidden $125 250 coins $0.55 1.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:32 UTC

[M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-factory-new) Hidden $125 250 coins $0.55 1.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:32 UTC

[M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) Hidden $125 250 coins $1.04 2.08 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:32 UTC

[M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) Hidden $125 250 coins $1.04 2.08 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:32 UTC

[M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-factory-new) Hidden $125 250 coins $0.55 1.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:32 UTC

[M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) Hidden $125 250 coins $1.04 2.08 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:32 UTC

[M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-factory-new) [DOWANNAKNOW](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/DOWANNAKNOW) $125 250 coins $0.55 1.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:32 UTC

[M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-factory-new) Hidden $125 250 coins $0.55 1.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:32 UTC

[M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) Hidden $125 250 coins $1.04 2.08 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:32 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $2,955 (23.64x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 63.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $63.80 on average: an expected loss of $36.20 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
