---
title: "3% KOSS KOI case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "3% KOSS KOI ($25.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 37.96% over 636 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-koss-koi
rendered: 2026-11-12T10:32Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [3% KOSS KOI](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-koss-koi)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 3% KOSS KOI

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-koss-koi?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-koss-koi?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-koss-koi) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-koss-koi?window=all)

Price · $25.00 · 50 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 37.96% · 636 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 184 openings · below min

7 days · 500 openings · below min

30 days · 636 openings · below min

since tracking started · 636 openings · below min

-0.5% 48.3% 97.0%

**Small sample.** 636 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-koss-koi?window=24h) | 184 | 47.87% ±48.4 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-koss-koi?window=7d) | 500 | 38.55% ±24.4 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-koss-koi) | 636 | 37.96% ±21.0 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-koss-koi?window=all) | 636 | 37.96% ±21.0 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $803 1,606 coins 32.11x 2026-11-12 00:30 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-freehand-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $584 1,167 coins 23.34x 2026-11-12 10:26 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-freehand-factory-new) [rm20bk](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/rm20bk) $25.00 50 coins $584 1,167 coins 23.34x 2026-11-06 05:32 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=3-koss-koi)

[Nova | Mandrel (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-mandrel-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:25 UTC

[Nova | Mandrel (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-mandrel-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:25 UTC

[Nova | Mandrel (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-mandrel-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:25 UTC

[Nova | Mandrel (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-mandrel-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:25 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-freehand-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $584 1,167 coins 23.34x 2026-11-12 10:25 UTC

[Nova | Mandrel (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-mandrel-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:25 UTC

[Nova | Mandrel (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-mandrel-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:25 UTC

[Nova | Mandrel (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-mandrel-factory-new) [wannagambles](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/wannagambles) $25.00 50 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:25 UTC

[Nova | Mandrel (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-mandrel-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 06:38 UTC

[Nova | Mandrel (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-mandrel-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 06:38 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $803 (32.11x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 38.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $37.96 on average: an expected loss of $62.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
