--- title: "3% Lucky Packet case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "3% Lucky Packet ($4.03) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 64.87% over 1,094 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-lucky-packet rendered: 2026-11-12T01:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [3% Lucky Packet](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-lucky-packet) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 3% Lucky Packet A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-lucky-packet?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-lucky-packet?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-lucky-packet) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-lucky-packet?window=all) Price · $4.03 · 8.06 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 64.87% · 1,094 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 69.43% ±26.20 1,022 openings 30 days · 64.87% ±24.50 1,094 openings since tracking started · 64.87% ±24.50 1,094 openings -0.5% 296.5% 593.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-lucky-packet?window=24h) | 12 | 200.39% ±392.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-lucky-packet?window=7d) | 1,022 | 69.43% ±26.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-lucky-packet) | 1,094 | 64.87% ±24.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3-lucky-packet?window=all) | 1,094 | 64.87% ±24.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $4.03 8.06 coins $290 579 coins 71.87x 2026-11-06 06:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=3-lucky-packet) [★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) Hidden $4.03 8.06 coins $96.86 194 coins 24.03x 2026-11-11 23:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $4.03 8.06 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $4.03 8.06 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $4.03 8.06 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $4.03 8.06 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $4.03 8.06 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $4.03 8.06 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [star123](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/star123) $4.03 8.06 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [gramou](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/gramou) $4.03 8.06 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:53 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $4.03 8.06 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $290 (71.87x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 64.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $64.87 on average: an expected loss of $35.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt