--- title: "3.225% KNIFE case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "3.225% KNIFE ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 100.19% over 4,490 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3225-knife rendered: 2026-11-11T23:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [3.225% KNIFE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3225-knife) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 3.225% KNIFE A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3225-knife?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3225-knife?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3225-knife) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3225-knife?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 10 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 100.19% · 4,490 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 678 openings · below min 7 days · 95.72% ±26.30 2,540 openings 30 days · 100.19% ±21.24 4,490 openings since tracking started · 100.19% ±21.24 4,490 openings 30.0% 76.3% 122.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3225-knife?window=24h) | 678 | 74.16% ±43.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3225-knife?window=7d) | 2,540 | 95.72% ±26.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3225-knife) | 4,490 | 100.19% ±21.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/3225-knife?window=all) | 4,490 | 100.19% ±21.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [LukexSoHandsome](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/LukexSoHandsome) $5.00 10 coins $735 1,470 coins 147.0x 2026-11-08 07:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $735 1,470 coins 147.0x 2026-11-03 00:57 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $735 1,470 coins 147.0x 2026-11-03 00:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $675 1,351 coins 135.1x 2026-11-10 00:16 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $675 1,351 coins 135.1x 2026-11-03 01:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $675 1,351 coins 135.1x 2026-11-03 00:03 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $554 1,109 coins 110.9x 2026-11-11 00:29 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $496 993 coins 99.25x 2026-11-09 07:48 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [cherrylea](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/cherrylea) $5.00 10 coins $322 644 coins 64.37x 2026-11-06 12:20 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $322 644 coins 64.37x 2026-11-04 19:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=3225-knife) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [LukexSoHandsome](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/LukexSoHandsome) $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $735 (147.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 100.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $100.19 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt