---
title: "4% KATOWICE 2014 case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "4% KATOWICE 2014 ($1,854.65) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 67.14% over 48 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/4-katowice-2014
rendered: 2026-11-12T07:20Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [4% KATOWICE 2014](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/4-katowice-2014)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 4% KATOWICE 2014

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/4-katowice-2014?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/4-katowice-2014?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/4-katowice-2014) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/4-katowice-2014?window=all)

Price · $1,854.65 · 3,709 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 67.14% · 48 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 48 openings · below min

30 days · 48 openings · below min

since tracking started · 48 openings · below min

8.0% 67.0% 126.0%

**Small sample.** 48 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/4-katowice-2014?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/4-katowice-2014?window=7d) | 48 | 67.14% ±58.3 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/4-katowice-2014) | 48 | 67.14% ±58.3 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/4-katowice-2014?window=all) | 48 | 67.14% ±58.3 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,855 3,709 coins $25.5K 51,019 coins 13.75x 2026-11-06 12:02 UTC

[Sticker | Natus Vincere (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,855 3,709 coins $9,909 19,817 coins 5.34x 2026-11-06 12:04 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [Nirra](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Nirra) $1,855 3,709 coins $529 1,059 coins 0.29x 2026-11-06 12:06 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,855 3,709 coins $529 1,059 coins 0.29x 2026-11-06 12:06 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,855 3,709 coins $529 1,059 coins 0.29x 2026-11-06 12:06 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,855 3,709 coins $529 1,059 coins 0.29x 2026-11-06 12:06 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,855 3,709 coins $529 1,059 coins 0.29x 2026-11-06 12:06 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,855 3,709 coins $529 1,059 coins 0.29x 2026-11-06 12:06 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,855 3,709 coins $529 1,059 coins 0.29x 2026-11-06 12:06 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,855 3,709 coins $529 1,059 coins 0.29x 2026-11-06 12:06 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=4-katowice-2014)

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [Nirra](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Nirra) $1,855 3,709 coins $529 1,059 coins 0.29x 2026-11-06 12:06 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,855 3,709 coins $529 1,059 coins 0.29x 2026-11-06 12:06 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,855 3,709 coins $529 1,059 coins 0.29x 2026-11-06 12:06 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,855 3,709 coins $529 1,059 coins 0.29x 2026-11-06 12:06 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,855 3,709 coins $529 1,059 coins 0.29x 2026-11-06 12:06 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,855 3,709 coins $529 1,059 coins 0.29x 2026-11-06 12:06 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,855 3,709 coins $529 1,059 coins 0.29x 2026-11-06 12:06 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,855 3,709 coins $529 1,059 coins 0.29x 2026-11-06 12:06 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [Nirra](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Nirra) $1,855 3,709 coins $529 1,059 coins 0.29x 2026-11-06 12:05 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,855 3,709 coins $529 1,059 coins 0.29x 2026-11-06 12:05 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $25.5K (13.75x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 67.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $67.14 on average: an expected loss of $32.86 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
