--- title: "420 1% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "420 1% ($24.69) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.92% over 592 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/420-1 rendered: 2026-11-13T04:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [420 1%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/420-1) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 420 1% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/420-1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/420-1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/420-1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/420-1?window=all) Price · $24.69 · 49.37 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.92% · 592 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 200 openings · below min 30 days · 592 openings · below min since tracking started · 592 openings · below min -0.5% 148.0% 296.5% **Small sample.** 592 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/420-1?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/420-1?window=7d) | 200 | 144.74% ±151.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/420-1) | 592 | 85.92% ±66.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/420-1?window=all) | 592 | 85.92% ±66.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $24.69 49.37 coins $2,545 5,091 coins 103.1x 2026-11-07 15:25 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $24.69 49.37 coins $2,338 4,676 coins 94.71x 2026-11-06 13:34 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [syltfanxx](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/syltfanxx) $24.69 49.37 coins $2,338 4,676 coins 94.71x 2026-11-05 15:50 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $24.69 49.37 coins $1,805 3,610 coins 73.12x 2026-11-05 02:10 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $24.69 49.37 coins $1,429 2,858 coins 57.89x 2026-11-06 13:35 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $24.69 49.37 coins $1,265 2,529 coins 51.23x 2026-11-05 15:50 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $24.69 49.37 coins $832 1,664 coins 33.71x 2026-11-08 08:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=420-1) [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $24.69 49.37 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:34 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $24.69 49.37 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:34 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $24.69 49.37 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:34 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $24.69 49.37 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:34 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $24.69 49.37 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:34 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $24.69 49.37 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:34 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $24.69 49.37 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:34 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) [wannagambles](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/wannagambles) $24.69 49.37 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:34 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $24.69 49.37 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:08 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $24.69 49.37 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 08:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,545 (103.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.92 on average: an expected loss of $14.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt