--- title: "5% ballistic case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% ballistic ($18.12) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 119.53% over 146 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-ballistic rendered: 2026-11-13T03:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [5% ballistic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-ballistic) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 5% ballistic A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-ballistic?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-ballistic?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-ballistic) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-ballistic?window=all) Price · $18.12 · 36.24 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 119.53% · 146 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 50 openings · below min 30 days · 146 openings · below min since tracking started · 146 openings · below min -0.5% 142.5% 285.5% **Small sample.** 146 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-ballistic?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-ballistic?window=7d) | 50 | 137.09% ±147.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-ballistic) | 146 | 119.53% ±90.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-ballistic?window=all) | 146 | 119.53% ±90.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) [BoldFever7237](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BoldFever7237) $18.12 36.24 coins $870 1,740 coins 48.00x 2026-11-05 23:58 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $18.12 36.24 coins $589 1,179 coins 32.52x 2026-11-07 14:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=5-ballistic) [Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $18.12 36.24 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:37 UTC [Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $18.12 36.24 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:37 UTC [Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $18.12 36.24 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:37 UTC [Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $18.12 36.24 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:37 UTC [AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) Hidden $18.12 36.24 coins $217 435 coins 12.00x 2026-11-07 19:37 UTC [Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $18.12 36.24 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:37 UTC [Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $18.12 36.24 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:37 UTC [Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-colony-field-tested) [piggycs](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/piggycs) $18.12 36.24 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:37 UTC [Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $18.12 36.24 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:32 UTC [Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $18.12 36.24 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:32 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $870 (48.00x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 119.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $119.53 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt