---
title: "5% banger case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "5% banger ($1.97) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.82% over 2,462 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-banger
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:33Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [5% banger](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-banger)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 5% banger

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-banger?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-banger?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-banger) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-banger?window=all)

Price · $1.97 · 3.93 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.82% · 2,462 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 238 openings · below min

7 days · 90.00% ±17.32 2,190 openings

30 days · 87.82% ±16.12 2,462 openings

since tracking started · 87.82% ±16.12 2,462 openings

27.0% 70.0% 113.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-banger?window=24h) | 238 | 69.82% ±42.3 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-banger?window=7d) | 2,190 | 90.00% ±17.3 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-banger) | 2,462 | 87.82% ±16.1 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-banger?window=all) | 2,462 | 87.82% ±16.1 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=5-banger)

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1.97 3.93 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.97 3.93 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [oskandle](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/oskandle) $1.97 3.93 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1.97 3.93 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.97 3.93 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1.97 3.93 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.97 3.93 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1.97 3.93 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1.97 3.93 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.97 3.93 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.82 on average: an expected loss of $12.18 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
