--- title: "5% BFK case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "5% BFK ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 121.13% over 1,638 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-bfk rendered: 2026-11-12T11:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [5% BFK](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-bfk) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 5% BFK A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-bfk?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-bfk?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-bfk) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-bfk?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 10 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 121.13% · 1,638 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 134 openings · below min 7 days · 73.70% ±30.32 1,045 openings 30 days · 121.13% ±56.09 1,638 openings since tracking started · 121.13% ±56.09 1,638 openings 0.5% 89.3% 178.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-bfk?window=24h) | 134 | 37.24% ±36.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-bfk?window=7d) | 1,045 | 73.70% ±30.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-bfk) | 1,638 | 121.13% ±56.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-bfk?window=all) | 1,638 | 121.13% ±56.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $1,678 3,356 coins 335.6x 2026-11-03 07:12 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $1,065 2,130 coins 213.0x 2026-11-03 01:24 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $677 1,353 coins 135.3x 2026-11-03 20:16 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $405 809 coins 80.91x 2026-11-10 16:00 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $405 809 coins 80.91x 2026-11-04 16:45 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $338 677 coins 67.66x 2026-11-06 00:46 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $338 677 coins 67.66x 2026-11-05 23:26 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $338 677 coins 67.66x 2026-11-05 14:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) [nutinaguti](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/nutinaguti) $5.00 10 coins $338 677 coins 67.66x 2026-11-03 07:09 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) [nutinaguti](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/nutinaguti) $5.00 10 coins $338 677 coins 67.66x 2026-11-03 07:06 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=5-bfk) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:47 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:47 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:47 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:47 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:47 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:47 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:47 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:47 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:02 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,678 (335.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 121.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $121.13 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt