---
title: "5% Chrome case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "5% Chrome ($8.40) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.79% over 778 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-chrome
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [5% Chrome](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-chrome)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 5% Chrome

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-chrome?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-chrome?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-chrome) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-chrome?window=all)

Price · $8.40 · 16.79 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.79% · 778 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 292 openings · below min

7 days · 778 openings · below min

30 days · 778 openings · below min

since tracking started · 778 openings · below min

18.5% 75.3% 132.0%

**Small sample.** 778 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-chrome?window=24h) | 292 | 75.23% ±56.0 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-chrome?window=7d) | 778 | 88.79% ±38.1 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-chrome) | 778 | 88.79% ±38.1 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-chrome?window=all) | 778 | 88.79% ±38.1 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $8.40 16.79 coins $618 1,235 coins 73.58x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC

[★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $8.40 16.79 coins $618 1,235 coins 73.58x 2026-11-10 20:12 UTC

[★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $8.40 16.79 coins $618 1,235 coins 73.58x 2026-11-10 05:37 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=5-chrome)

[Glock-18 | Ironwork (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ironwork-factory-new) Hidden $8.40 16.79 coins $0.78 1.55 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 20:33 UTC

[MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-factory-new) Hidden $8.40 16.79 coins $0.11 0.22 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:33 UTC

[MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-factory-new) Hidden $8.40 16.79 coins $0.11 0.22 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:33 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) Hidden $8.40 16.79 coins $2.07 4.14 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 20:33 UTC

[Glock-18 | Ironwork (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ironwork-factory-new) Hidden $8.40 16.79 coins $0.78 1.55 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 20:33 UTC

[MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-factory-new) Hidden $8.40 16.79 coins $0.11 0.22 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:33 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) Hidden $8.40 16.79 coins $2.07 4.14 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 20:33 UTC

[SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-damascus-steel-factory-new) [fficient](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/fficient) $8.40 16.79 coins $0.96 1.93 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 20:33 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) Hidden $8.40 16.79 coins $2.07 4.14 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 20:32 UTC

[SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $8.40 16.79 coins $0.96 1.93 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 20:32 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $618 (73.58x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.79 on average: an expected loss of $11.21 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
