--- title: "5% Funbox case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% Funbox ($16.02) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 88.19% over 3,371 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-funbox rendered: 2026-11-11T13:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [5% Funbox](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-funbox) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 5% Funbox A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-funbox?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-funbox?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-funbox) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-funbox?window=all) Price · $16.02 · 32.04 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $14.42 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.19% · 3,371 openings, odds method Variance · 20.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 98.24% ±47.64 351 openings 7 days · 89.37% ±16.43 2,951 openings 30 days · 88.19% ±15.37 3,371 openings since tracking started · 88.19% ±15.37 3,371 openings 50.0% 98.3% 146.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-funbox?window=24h) | 351 | 98.24% ±47.6 | +0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-funbox?window=7d) | 2,951 | 89.37% ±16.4 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-funbox) | 3,371 | 88.19% ±15.4 | −0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-funbox?window=all) | 3,371 | 88.19% ±15.4 | −0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,371 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 400 | $632 1,265 coins | 11.0% | 6 | 8.4 | 0.71× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $618 1,237 coins | 10.7% | 6 | 8.4 | 0.71× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 400 | $618 1,236 coins | 10.7% | 11 | 8.4 | 1.31× | | [★ Karambit \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $610 1,220 coins | 10.6% | 6 | 8.4 | 0.71× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $215 431 coins | 14.9% | 42 | 33.7 | 1.25× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $204 408 coins | 14.2% | 31 | 33.7 | 0.92× | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $202 403 coins | 14.0% | 32 | 33.7 | 0.95× | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $201 401 coins | 13.9% | 39 | 33.7 | 1.16× | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 95.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 3,198 | 3202.4 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $16.02 32.04 coins $632 1,265 coins 39.47x 2026-11-08 14:46 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $16.02 32.04 coins $632 1,265 coins 39.47x 2026-11-07 04:52 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $16.02 32.04 coins $632 1,265 coins 39.47x 2026-11-07 02:09 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $16.02 32.04 coins $632 1,265 coins 39.47x 2026-11-05 05:54 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $16.02 32.04 coins $632 1,265 coins 39.47x 2026-11-04 20:19 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $16.02 32.04 coins $632 1,265 coins 39.47x 2026-11-04 20:10 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $16.02 32.04 coins $618 1,237 coins 38.60x 2026-11-10 19:47 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $16.02 32.04 coins $618 1,237 coins 38.60x 2026-11-09 19:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $16.02 32.04 coins $618 1,237 coins 38.60x 2026-11-08 02:31 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $16.02 32.04 coins $618 1,237 coins 38.60x 2026-11-06 22:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=5-funbox) [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $16.02 32.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:05 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $16.02 32.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:05 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $16.02 32.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:05 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $16.02 32.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:36 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $16.02 32.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:36 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $16.02 32.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:36 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $16.02 32.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:36 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $16.02 32.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:36 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $16.02 32.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:36 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $16.02 32.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $16.02 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 0.5% covert knife 2.3% covert 2.3% #4b69ff 95.0% best hit $632 (39.47x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt