--- title: "5% Glory case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% Glory ($10.95) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 6 items with odds, observed 86.95% over 1,944 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-glory rendered: 2026-11-11T20:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [5% Glory](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-glory) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 5% Glory A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-glory?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-glory?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-glory) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-glory?window=all) Price · $10.95 · 21.89 coins Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $9.85 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.95% · 1,944 openings, odds method Variance · 15.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 145 openings · below min 7 days · 88.85% ±22.76 1,154 openings 30 days · 86.95% ±17.54 1,944 openings since tracking started · 86.95% ±17.54 1,944 openings 40.0% 105.0% 170.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-glory?window=24h) | 145 | 104.99% ±64.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-glory?window=7d) | 1,154 | 88.85% ±22.8 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-glory) | 1,944 | 86.95% ±17.5 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-glory?window=all) | 1,944 | 86.95% ±17.5 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,944 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 100 | $228 455 coins | 23.1% | 18 | 19.4 | 0.93× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $209 417 coins | 21.2% | 20 | 19.4 | 1.03× | | [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $201 402 coins | 20.4% | 24 | 19.4 | 1.23× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $193 386 coins | 19.6% | 12 | 19.4 | 0.62× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $153 305 coins | 15.5% | 20 | 19.4 | 1.03× | | [R8 Revolver \| Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-field-tested) | 95.0% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.2% | 1,850 | 1846.8 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=5-glory) [R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-field-tested) Hidden $10.95 21.89 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-field-tested) Hidden $10.95 21.89 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-field-tested) Hidden $10.95 21.89 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-field-tested) Hidden $10.95 21.89 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-field-tested) Hidden $10.95 21.89 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-field-tested) Hidden $10.95 21.89 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-field-tested) Hidden $10.95 21.89 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-field-tested) Hidden $10.95 21.89 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-field-tested) Hidden $10.95 21.89 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:22 UTC [R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-field-tested) Hidden $10.95 21.89 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.95 | 89.98% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.0% pink 1.0% extraordinary 1.0% industrial 95.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt