---
title: "5% LORE MAX case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "5% LORE MAX ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 70.58% over 919 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lore-max
rendered: 2026-11-12T11:33Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [5% LORE MAX](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lore-max)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 5% LORE MAX

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lore-max?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lore-max?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lore-max) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lore-max?window=all)

Price · $5.00 · 10 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 70.58% · 919 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 76 openings · below min

7 days · 712 openings · below min

30 days · 919 openings · below min

since tracking started · 919 openings · below min

-0.5% 187.8% 376.0%

**Small sample.** 919 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lore-max?window=24h) | 76 | 185.62% ±189.7 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lore-max?window=7d) | 712 | 77.44% ±38.7 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lore-max) | 919 | 70.58% ±30.9 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lore-max?window=all) | 919 | 70.58% ±30.9 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $405 809 coins 80.91x 2026-11-05 23:49 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $338 677 coins 67.66x 2026-11-11 17:12 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $338 677 coins 67.66x 2026-11-11 17:12 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $338 677 coins 67.66x 2026-11-06 00:30 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=5-lore-max)

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:26 UTC

[MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $30.88 61.75 coins 6.18x 2026-11-12 09:26 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:26 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:26 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:26 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:26 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:22 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:22 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:22 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $99.78 200 coins 19.96x 2026-11-12 09:22 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $405 (80.91x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 70.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $70.58 on average: an expected loss of $29.42 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
