--- title: "%5 Lucky case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "%5 Lucky ($1.62) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 97.12% over 204 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lucky rendered: 2026-11-12T17:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [%5 Lucky](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lucky) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken)%5 Lucky A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lucky?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lucky?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lucky) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lucky?window=all) Price · $1.62 · 3.24 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 97.12% · 204 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 52 openings · below min 30 days · 204 openings · below min since tracking started · 204 openings · below min -0.5% 1268.0% 2536.5% **Small sample.** 204 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lucky?window=24h) | 16 | 936.42% ±1599.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lucky?window=7d) | 52 | 288.34% ±495.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lucky) | 204 | 97.12% ±128.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-lucky?window=all) | 204 | 97.12% ±128.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-hand-cannon-minimal-wear) [majin](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/majin) $1.62 3.24 coins $213 426 coins 131.4x 2026-11-12 11:41 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=5-lucky) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.62 3.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 16:40 UTC [AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) Hidden $1.62 3.24 coins $12.42 24.84 coins 7.67x 2026-11-12 16:40 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.62 3.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 16:40 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.62 3.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 16:40 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.62 3.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 16:40 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.62 3.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 16:40 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.62 3.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 16:40 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.62 3.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 16:40 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.62 3.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:39 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.62 3.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $213 (131.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 97.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $97.12 on average: an expected loss of $2.88 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt