--- title: "5% megafarm case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% megafarm ($0.43) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.27% over 7,147 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-megafarm rendered: 2026-11-12T01:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [5% megafarm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-megafarm) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 5% megafarm A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-megafarm?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-megafarm?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-megafarm) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-megafarm?window=all) Price · $0.43 · 0.85 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.27% · 7,147 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 72.36% ±19.54 1,256 openings 7 days · 89.65% ±9.86 6,345 openings 30 days · 90.27% ±9.32 7,147 openings since tracking started · 90.27% ±9.32 7,147 openings 52.0% 76.0% 100.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-megafarm?window=24h) | 1,256 | 72.36% ±19.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-megafarm?window=7d) | 6,345 | 89.65% ±9.86 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-megafarm) | 7,147 | 90.27% ±9.32 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-megafarm?window=all) | 7,147 | 90.27% ±9.32 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-contrast-spray-factory-new) Hidden $0.42 0.85 coins $24.98 49.95 coins 58.76x 2026-11-09 07:45 UTC [FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-contrast-spray-factory-new) Hidden $0.42 0.85 coins $24.98 49.95 coins 58.76x 2026-11-09 05:27 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=5-megafarm) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.85 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 01:05 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.85 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 01:05 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.85 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 01:05 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.85 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 01:05 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.85 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 01:05 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.85 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 01:05 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.85 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 01:05 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.85 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 01:05 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.85 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 00:50 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.85 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 00:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $24.98 (58.76x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.27 on average: an expected loss of $9.73 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt