--- title: "5% Niksi case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% Niksi ($43.61) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 143.86% over 230 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-niksi rendered: 2026-11-11T22:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [5% Niksi](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-niksi) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 5% Niksi A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-niksi?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-niksi?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-niksi) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-niksi?window=all) Price · $43.61 · 87.21 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 143.86% · 230 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 230 openings · below min 30 days · 230 openings · below min since tracking started · 230 openings · below min -0.5% 148.3% 297.0% **Small sample.** 230 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-niksi?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-niksi?window=7d) | 230 | 143.86% ±152.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-niksi) | 230 | 143.86% ±152.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-niksi?window=all) | 230 | 143.86% ±152.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $43.61 87.21 coins $6,892 13,784 coins 158.1x 2026-11-07 13:39 UTC [Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $43.61 87.21 coins $3,498 6,995 coins 80.21x 2026-11-07 13:37 UTC [★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-factory-new) Hidden $43.61 87.21 coins $702 1,404 coins 16.10x 2026-11-07 13:37 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $43.61 87.21 coins $501 1,002 coins 11.49x 2026-11-07 13:41 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $43.61 87.21 coins $501 1,002 coins 11.49x 2026-11-07 13:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=5-niksi) [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $43.61 87.21 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:14 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $43.61 87.21 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:14 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $43.61 87.21 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:14 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $43.61 87.21 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:14 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $43.61 87.21 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:14 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [raka12k](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/raka12k) $43.61 87.21 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:14 UTC [Charm | That's Bananas charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-thats-bananas) Hidden $43.61 87.21 coins $333 667 coins 7.64x 2026-11-07 13:43 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $43.61 87.21 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 13:43 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $43.61 87.21 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 13:43 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $43.61 87.21 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 13:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $6,892 (158.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 143.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $143.86 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt