--- title: "5% papi case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "5% papi ($1.96) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 133.83% over 138 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-papi rendered: 2026-11-13T03:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [5% papi](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-papi) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 5% papi A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-papi?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-papi?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-papi) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-papi?window=all) Price · $1.96 · 3.92 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 133.83% · 138 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 60 openings · below min 30 days · 138 openings · below min since tracking started · 138 openings · below min -0.5% 151.3% 303.0% **Small sample.** 138 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-papi?window=24h) | 8 | 0.26% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-papi?window=7d) | 60 | 24.84% ±40.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-papi) | 138 | 133.83% ±168.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-papi?window=all) | 138 | 133.83% ±168.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $1.96 3.92 coins $197 393 coins 100.3x 2026-11-03 13:08 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $1.96 3.92 coins $124 247 coins 63.13x 2026-11-03 12:58 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=5-papi) [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $1.96 3.92 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:02 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $1.96 3.92 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:02 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $1.96 3.92 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:02 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $1.96 3.92 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:02 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $1.96 3.92 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:02 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $1.96 3.92 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:02 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $1.96 3.92 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:02 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) [mummiexPT](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/mummiexPT) $1.96 3.92 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:02 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $1.96 3.92 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 05:15 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $1.96 3.92 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 05:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $197 (100.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 133.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $133.83 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt