--- title: "5% Phoenix case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% Phoenix ($20.86) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.54% over 192 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-phoenix rendered: 2026-11-12T14:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [5% Phoenix](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-phoenix) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 5% Phoenix A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-phoenix?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-phoenix?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-phoenix) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-phoenix?window=all) Price · $20.86 · 41.71 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.54% · 192 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 32 openings · below min 7 days · 128 openings · below min 30 days · 192 openings · below min since tracking started · 192 openings · below min -0.5% 277.8% 556.0% **Small sample.** 192 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-phoenix?window=24h) | 32 | 187.62% ±367.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-phoenix?window=7d) | 128 | 99.95% ±113.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-phoenix) | 192 | 85.54% ±78.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-phoenix?window=all) | 192 | 85.54% ±78.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) [rm20bk](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/rm20bk) $20.86 41.71 coins $1,252 2,504 coins 60.03x 2026-11-11 21:22 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-factory-new) Hidden $20.86 41.71 coins $746 1,493 coins 35.79x 2026-11-06 05:12 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [rm20bk](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/rm20bk) $20.86 41.71 coins $544 1,088 coins 26.08x 2026-11-07 04:19 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=5-phoenix) [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $20.86 41.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $20.86 41.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $20.86 41.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $20.86 41.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $20.86 41.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $20.86 41.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $20.86 41.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) [rm20bk](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/rm20bk) $20.86 41.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $20.86 41.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:26 UTC [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $20.86 41.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:26 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,252 (60.03x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.54 on average: an expected loss of $14.46 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt