--- title: "5% Red Star case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% Red Star ($14.77) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.96% over 1,754 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-red-star rendered: 2026-11-11T22:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [5% Red Star](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-red-star) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 5% Red Star A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-red-star?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-red-star?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-red-star) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-red-star?window=all) Price · $14.77 · 29.53 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 81.96% · 1,754 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 91.40% ±28.12 1,240 openings 30 days · 81.96% ±21.58 1,754 openings since tracking started · 81.96% ±21.58 1,754 openings 59.5% 89.8% 120.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-red-star?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-red-star?window=7d) | 1,240 | 91.40% ±28.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-red-star) | 1,754 | 81.96% ±21.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-red-star?window=all) | 1,754 | 81.96% ±21.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $14.77 29.53 coins $1,010 2,020 coins 68.40x 2026-11-10 00:49 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $14.77 29.53 coins $873 1,745 coins 59.10x 2026-11-05 23:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $14.77 29.53 coins $873 1,745 coins 59.10x 2026-11-05 19:57 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $14.77 29.53 coins $873 1,745 coins 59.10x 2026-11-05 18:23 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $14.77 29.53 coins $618 1,236 coins 41.87x 2026-11-05 23:04 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $14.77 29.53 coins $618 1,236 coins 41.87x 2026-11-05 23:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [iMadyyyy](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/iMadyyyy) $14.77 29.53 coins $618 1,236 coins 41.87x 2026-11-05 19:16 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $14.77 29.53 coins $618 1,236 coins 41.87x 2026-11-04 19:38 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $14.77 29.53 coins $618 1,236 coins 41.87x 2026-11-02 21:52 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $14.77 29.53 coins $618 1,236 coins 41.87x 2026-11-02 21:51 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=5-red-star) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $14.77 29.53 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:56 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $14.77 29.53 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:56 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $14.77 29.53 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:56 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $14.77 29.53 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:56 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $14.77 29.53 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:56 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $14.77 29.53 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:56 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $14.77 29.53 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:56 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [iMadyyyy](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/iMadyyyy) $14.77 29.53 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:56 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $14.77 29.53 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:56 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $14.77 29.53 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,010 (68.40x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 82.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.96 on average: an expected loss of $18.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt