---
title: "5% Stabbed case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "5% Stabbed ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 78.33% over 661 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-stabbed
rendered: 2026-11-12T08:07Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [5% Stabbed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-stabbed)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 5% Stabbed

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-stabbed?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-stabbed?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-stabbed) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-stabbed?window=all)

Price · $5.00 · 10 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 78.33% · 661 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 44 openings · below min

7 days · 385 openings · below min

30 days · 661 openings · below min

since tracking started · 661 openings · below min

-0.5% 350.8% 702.0%

**Small sample.** 661 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-stabbed?window=24h) | 44 | 251.76% ±449.6 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-stabbed?window=7d) | 385 | 93.99% ±60.1 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-stabbed) | 661 | 78.33% ±38.1 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-stabbed?window=all) | 661 | 78.33% ±38.1 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $503 1,007 coins 100.7x 2026-11-11 17:44 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=5-stabbed)

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC

[SG 553 | Aerial (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.05 0.1 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:44 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:44 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $503 (100.7x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 78.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $78.33 on average: an expected loss of $21.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
